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Neal Peirce Touts Metro Economic
Success, Offers Insights on hanging Demographics
By
Kevin McCarty June 26,
2000
Neal Peirce, syndicated columnist and
national expert on municipal and regional matters, told the mayors June
12th that "Cities have the great institutions, the ports and downtowns and
universities. Suburbs have the kind of numbers that get politicians’
attention. You have 80 percent of the population of America. It ought to
be an unbeatable combination."
It is this message that Peirce delivered in
concluding his remarks which concentrated on changing demographics in
America and the emergent role of city/county metropolitan economies, which
he calls "citistates."
In remarks following the Conference’s Annual
Business Meeting, he said, "And the fundamental fact of this new century,
whether one’s from Boise or Boston, Peoria or Philadelphia, indeed Seoul
or Singapore or Seattle, is the multicultural imperative. With my
Minnesota colleague, Curtis Johnson, I’ve been writing newspaper series on
the future of U.S. metro regions for the last 13 years. We are convinced
that the metropolitan regions of our times — we deliberately call them
"citistates" — will be the focus of 21st century global economic activity.
That with the end of the Cold War, military power, the specialty of nation
states, has subsided in importance, while economic activity, the strong
suit of cities and regions, has become the central arena of human contact
and progress."
The San Diego and South Florida metro
regions were described in examples to underscore how regional economic
activity and cooperation are now transcending national boundaries,
supporting his claim that citistates will dominate the 21st
Century.
Metro Economic Output
Peirce said, "I believe the mayors of
America have a major role to play in portraying, in their own citistate
regions and across the United States, the importance of metro regions in
today’s world." He noted the metro economic studies by Standard and Poor’s
DRI for the Conference of Mayors and the National Association of Counties.
"The work, done by Standard & Poor’s DRI division, not only shows that
as economic actors, major U.S. citistates compete in size with major world
nations. In gross product, for example, the New York region ranks 13th
among the world’s top economies, just ahead of Australia, Argentina and
Russia. The Los Angeles citistate is bigger than Korea, Chicago greater
than Taiwan or Switzerland," he said.
Citing additional DRI findings, Peirce said,
"Just as vital, the study shows that this nation’s 314 metro regions are
clearly its economic drivers. They provide 84 percent of America’s new
jobs, 95 percent of high-tech positions, 88 percent of the country’s
income. The country needs to hear more of Wellington Webb’s message — that
Metro regions are growing, producing more, and creating unprecedented
levels of employment."
Metro Economies Challenge Federal/State
Policies
Peirce discussed what this data means for
governmental policy-makers. "The first has to do with how the federal
government, and also the state governments, treat and deal with metro
regions. Traditionally, these higher governments show an irresistible urge
to micromanage, manipulate, and often discriminate against the metro
regions — their older center cities in particular. Talk about the kind of
antiquated, counterproductive politics we should be shedding as we enter a
new century. Instead of playing off city against suburb, states need to
regard entire regions — as strong subsidiaries they would want,
corporatestyle, to incentivize to succeed, so that the regions’ fiscal
return will rise and entire state populations can benefit."
He then told the mayors, "You all may cringe
at the analogy, but I think you should be telling the state and federal
governments that your city regions are the cash cows of the modern economy
— a proposition proven by those USCM/NACo statistics. And that what we
need is to push, in the years ahead, for a coherent body of federal and
state incentives to increase your regions’ productivity by conscious and
explicit federal and state policies encouraging regions to collaborate, to
get business and non-more profit sector players at the COG and MPO tables.
Great corporations prosper by incentivizing, not micromanaging their major
subsidiaries. Washington and the state capitals need to view their regions
the same way."
Census and Changing Demographics
In discussing the upcoming results of the
2000 Census, Peirce said, "The totals can make such a substantial
difference for you in terms of city prestige and government service
entitlements."
Peirce noted that the results would cast
"new light on some of the problems cities must deal with, including the
severe disparities of wealth in our time. As well as the impacts of
continuing waves of suburban expansion and sprawl — balanced, though, by a
heartening but still largely measured trend of middle class folks deciding
to return to downtowns and other seasoned neighborhoods."
Citing demographic trends, he pointed out
that every 7.5 seconds a baby boomer turns 50. "Cities that use their wits
can find a way to draw a niche crowd of 50-plussers tired of cul-de-sacs
and crabgrass and gruesome traffic delays. And not just that — precisely
because of the improved city management and reduced crime rates so many of
you’ve been involved with, your cities are creating settings attractive
also to our young professionals, even some of the dot.com crowd," Peirce
said.
He discussed at length data conveying "the incredible
spread of peoples from ethnicities and races that differ from historic
native populations." Peirce pointed out that "the growth of those we call
minorities is already so intense that the combined numbers of blacks,
Hispanics, Asians and Native Americans will accelerate, in the century
we’ve just entered, to a clear majority of America’s population shortly
after 2050." He explained that California would be the first state to
reach this threshold, with Texas expected to reach this level by 2010.
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